{"id":7006,"date":"2026-06-08T09:48:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-08T07:48:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/industrynews.ro\/?p=7006"},"modified":"2026-06-08T09:57:28","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T07:57:28","slug":"dragos-cabat-economia-s-ar-putea-contracta-cu-1-15-in-acest-an","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/industrynews.ro\/en\/dragos-cabat-economia-s-ar-putea-contracta-cu-1-15-in-acest-an\/","title":{"rendered":"Drago\u0219 Cabat: Economia s-ar putea contracta cu 1%-1,5% \u00een acest an"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Economia Rom\u00e2niei s-ar putea contracta cu 1%-1,5% \u00een acest an, dac\u0103 evolu\u021bia din primul trimestru se va men\u021bine \u0219i \u00een restul anului, a declarat, vineri, pentru Agerpres, analistul economic Drago\u0219 Cabat, care consider\u0103 c\u0103 reducerea infla\u021biei \u0219i a deficitului bugetar nu poate fi realizat\u0103 f\u0103r\u0103 o perioad\u0103 de contrac\u021bie economic\u0103.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201e<em>Sc\u0103derea economiei era de a\u0219teptat, se \u0219tia c\u0103 intr\u0103m \u00een recesiune anul acesta, nu este o surpriz\u0103. A\u0219 spune doar c\u0103 amploarea acestei sc\u0103deri conteaz\u0103. Faptul c\u0103 se dep\u0103\u0219e\u0219te 1% este u\u0219or surprinz\u0103tor \u0219i nepl\u0103cut mai ales, pentru c\u0103 speran\u021ba era s\u0103 avem o recesiune undeva \u00eentre 0 \u0219i 0,5% pe final de an. Dac\u0103 datele acestea din primul trimestru vor continua \u0219i \u00een restul anului, se pare c\u0103 vom avea o contrac\u021bie undeva \u00eentre 1 \u0219i 1,5%. Este singura posibilitate de a sc\u0103dea \u00een acela\u0219i timp infla\u021bia \u0219i deficitul bugetar. Nu putem s\u0103 o facem f\u0103r\u0103 contrac\u021bie, \u00een special \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care nu am mai atras sau nu reu\u0219im s\u0103 atragem banii europeni a\u0219a cum ne-am fi dorit, pentru c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia, de fapt, de 2-3 ani ar fi fost \u00een recesiune dac\u0103 nu am fi avut banii europeni<\/em>\u201d, a explicat Drago\u0219 Cabat, membru \u00een Consiliul Director al CFA, co-fondator Cabat&amp;Pah Investments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00cen opinia sa, banii europeni sunt cei care \u201eau f\u0103cut diferen\u021ba \u0219i care ne-au \u021binut la acel plus de zero \u0219i ceva din ultimii c\u00e2\u021biva ani\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201e<em>Dac\u0103 nu atragem banii europeni, o s\u0103 vedem realitatea, adic\u0103 faptul c\u0103 economia rom\u00e2neasc\u0103 este \u00eentr-o recesiune deja, de c\u00e2\u021biva ani<\/em>\u201d, a ad\u0103ugat Cabat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Potrivit acestuia, este necesar\u0103 intrarea pe o traiectorie de reducere c\u00e2t mai rapid\u0103 a infla\u021biei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201e<em>Asta nu se poate face dec\u00e2t \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care consumul scade \u0219i \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care ai o faz\u0103 de recesiune. Ce putea s\u0103 fac\u0103 (Guvernul, n.r.)? S\u0103 atrag\u0103 bani europeni \u00eentr-un procent c\u00e2t mai mare \u0219i s\u0103 \u00eei aloce p\u0103r\u021bii de investi\u021bii finan\u021bate prin banii europeni \u0219i s\u0103 se asigure c\u0103 banii europeni sunt folosi\u021bi optim, \u00een a\u0219a fel \u00eenc\u00e2t s\u0103 aib\u0103 un efect de multiplicare \u00een economie \u0219i nu doar s\u0103 cump\u0103r\u0103m lucruri de import din banii europeni<\/em>\u201d, a precizat Cabat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Acesta consider\u0103 c\u0103 o revenire a economiei rom\u00e2ne\u0219ti ar putea avea loc \u00een 2027 sau 2028.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201e<em>Economia ar fi crescut anul acesta \u00een cazul \u00een care atr\u0103geam to\u021bi banii de la Uniunea European\u0103. Dar asta apare acum ca o utopie, nu mai este realist. \u00cen mod normal, o revenire a economiei rom\u00e2ne\u0219ti ar putea s\u0103 se petreac\u0103 \u00een 2027 sau 2028, \u00een m\u0103sura \u00een care reu\u0219im s\u0103 elimin\u0103m corup\u021bia din Rom\u00e2nia. Dar cu un guvern care nu are legitimitatea \u0219i puterea s\u0103 continue reformele pe care le-a \u00eenceput guvernul primului ministru Bolojan, nu exist\u0103 \u0219anse de a schimba economia rom\u00e2neasc\u0103 \u00een bine. \u0218i, atunci, orice revenire a economiei pe plus va \u00eensemna inclusiv o cre\u0219tere a deficitului bugetar \u0219i o relansare a infla\u021biei. Nu este neap\u0103rat ceea ce ne dorim, ca economia Rom\u00e2niei s\u0103 revin\u0103 pe plus din punct de vedere al cre\u0219terii economice, pentru c\u0103 este o cre\u0219tere nes\u0103n\u0103toas\u0103<\/em>\u201d, a mai spus Dragos Cabat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Economia Rom\u00e2niei a sc\u0103zut cu 1,2% pe serie brut\u0103 \u00een primele trei luni ale acestui an, comparativ cu aceea\u0219i perioad\u0103 din anul 2025, \u0219i cu 1,1% pe serie ajustat\u0103 sezonier, potrivit datelor provizorii (1) anun\u021bate vineri de Institutul Na\u021bional de Statistic\u0103 (INS).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">INS a revizuit \u00een sus fa\u021b\u0103 de estimarea anterioar\u0103 datele privind economia Rom\u00e2niei \u00een primul trimestru din acest an, de la o sc\u0103dere a PIB-ului de 1,7% la 1,2% \u00een prezent.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Economia Rom\u00e2niei s-ar putea contracta cu 1%-1,5% \u00een acest an, dac\u0103 evolu\u021bia din primul trimestru se va men\u021bine \u0219i \u00een restul anului, a declarat, vineri, pentru Agerpres, analistul economic Drago\u0219 Cabat, care consider\u0103 c\u0103 reducerea infla\u021biei \u0219i a deficitului bugetar nu poate fi realizat\u0103 f\u0103r\u0103 o perioad\u0103 de contrac\u021bie economic\u0103. \u201eSc\u0103derea economiei era de a\u0219teptat,<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4523,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-energie"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.4 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Economia Rom\u00e2niei a sc\u0103zut cu 1,2% pe serie brut\u0103 \u00een primele trei luni ale acestui an, comparativ cu aceea\u0219i perioad\u0103 din anul 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